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Monday, March 30, 2009

Wales vs Germany preview

This Wednesday Germany will travel to Millenium Stadium, Cardiff, to play against Wales in 2010 World Cup Qualifier. After a 4-0 victory against Liechtenstein, the spirit of Germany is pretty high. So I believe they can win another match in order to maintain the lead in the group. Now here's the preview:

Things to lead to win: Midfield creation and dominance. This is the biggest strength of Germany. Michael Ballack performed very well last match as he dominated the midfield and the opposition did not have chance at all. At the same time, Thomas Hitzlsperger did assist Ballack in the midfield domination. I believe this duo will start the match and they will keep dominating the midfield. Meanwhile, Piotr Trochowski will be very likely to start as his creativeness and long shot will help the team to break through the tough Welsh defense. Lukas Podolski will have lots of support from the midfield and he is very likely to score. So I believe this match Germany's midfield will play the important role to lead the team to win.

Things to watch out for: Fast counter attacks. Wales defense is very tough and sometimes nasty. So I believe they will have a very harsh tackle to Germany midfield in order to stop them creating. From the last match, it can be seen that after they have tackle the ball, then they will long pass to Craig Bellamy to find chances. Craig Bellamy is a speedy striker and he runs everwhere in the pitch so it is definitely a potential threat to Germany, as Germany defense is quite slow paced. So if Germany cannot get rid of the tough tackles, it will be a great danger to them as it is very likely to concede goals.

General preview: Critics said Germany did not have a great game last week because they did not win too many goals. However, I believe they only played the match in first gear and they did not care about how many they score after they were sure to get those 3 points. I believe the key of this match is the midfield battle. Germany will take an advantage based on their class and better ball control. Wales even can tackle the ball hard, they also cannot create the attack well. They rely too much on Craig Bellamy so that the defenders will have an easier job to do. Rene Adler the Germany goalkeeper will definitely miss the match so Robert Enke will have a very good chance to prove himself he is one of the contenders in Germany first choice goalkeeper. Marcell Jansen may go back to the bench even he scored goal last week as Trochowski is better at creativeness. Marco Gomez is still very likely to play as Joachim Löw would like to give him another chance. All in all, I believe Germany can win this match but the score will not be too extreme.

Last round: Germany win 1-0
My tip: Germany win 2-0

Predicted lineup (left to right, 4-2-2-2): Enke - Lahm, Mertesacker, Tasci, Beck - Ballack, Hitzlsperger - Trochowski, Schweinsteiger - Podolski, Gomez

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