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Wednesday, November 26, 2008

German Bundesliga Week 15 Tipping

This week German Bundesliga has reached week 15. The winter champion is heated up while Hoffenheim is still leading the race. Meanwhile, the relegation fight comes close as there are 2 important relegation fighting matches to be played. Bayern München will start their most important 3 matches of season from this week. Last week I have tipped 4 correct results but without correct scores. Here's my tip of this week:

Hertha Berlin (4th) vs 1. FC Köln (10th) - Friday: Hertha Berlin so far looks very solid, especially in defense. Their excellent defense make the oppositions have a very hard time, even including Hoffenheim. Arne Friedrich is the player who lead the solid defense this season, and he did a great job. Even their attacks is not that sharpe, their defense can carry them through. At the same time Köln is looking very well as well, but their class cannot carry them through all the time. So they are now still standing at the 10th position. Considering Hertha Berlin has greater defense and better class, Hertha Berlin will take another 3 points this week. My tip: Hertha Berlin win 2-0.

Werder Bremen (9th) vs Eintract Frankfurt (12th) - Saturday: Werder Bremen is very disappointing this season, this is because their defense is very fragile, only Per Mertesacker did his job and the others only did more harms. The other reason is their attacks is declining, even it looks sharpe. Even Claudio Pizarro, and Diego maintain the great form, they find the hard time to dominate. Last match against Hamburger SV showed that their attacks came dead when the opposition defense look well disciplined. On the other hand, Frankfurt is still improving after the poor start of the season, their defense started to look better and better now. I believe this match Frankfurt can hold on the defense and make a lot of counter attacks to make lots of troubles to Werder Bremen. Considering Werder Bremen has just finished the Champions League match, I believe they cannot win this match. My tip: Match draw 1-1.

Bayer Leverkusen (2nd) vs Bayern München (3rd) - Saturday: This is the most important match for both teams, if any of them lose this game, they will find very hard in the title race. Leverkusen young guns are looking very passionate and high morale so far. With the lead of Rene Adler, their defense looks very good. However, once the defenders have been through, Rene Adler finds a very hard time. Meanwhile, Tranquillo Barnetta, Partick Helmes and Stefan Kießling are the main attacking force which bring a lot of threats to Bayern. I believe they can score goals against Bayern, as Bayern's defense in the league do not look very good. On the other hand, Bayern is having a great run. They win 6 matches in last 7 league matches, total gained 19 points. Franck Ribery, Luca Toni, and Miroslav Klose are very fit and they are the primary reason to Bayern to gain this great run. Ze Roberto and Bastian Schweinsteiger are also good at form so they can assist the trio in the attack, so even though Bayern's defense is not looking very good, their attacks can carry them through. The one can finish better will win this match. My tip: Bayern München win 2-1.

Hannover 96 (13th) vs Karlsruher SC (17th) - Saturday: This is as important as Leverkusen vs Bayern mentioned above, the different is they are fighting for survival, not winning trophy. Hannover 96 is still struggling for the run, even their performance is improving. The injury problem really makes the team down. Especially in defense, there are too many injuries that left back and central midfielder Christian Schulz needs to play as central defense. Robert Enke is still injured and Florian Fromlowitz needs to stand up to face the game until next year. On the other hand, Karlsruher now looks hopeless, they only managed to have a draw in last 8 matches, that means 1 draw and 7 losses. The whole team now is falling apart in piece and they cannot see they can bring any surprises in this match. If they want to win back again, they need to work extra hard in this match. Considering Hannover has better form, I believe Karlsruher will have another loss. My tip: Hannover win 2-0.

Borussia Mönchengladbach (15th) vs Energie Cottbus (18th) - Saturday: This is another important relegation survival match in this week. Gladbach cannot convert the morale boosting draw against Bayern 2 weeks ago and lost to Schalke 3-1. It showed they lack of consistency, so that they remain at the edge of the relegation zone. Marko Marin cannot help the team all the time so it leads the team cannot find their consistency. Also, the other players cannot stand up to fight in the critical moment so that all the plays are relying on Marin. On the other hand, Cottbus is still looking hopeless at the moment, they only created 1 lucky shot to scored against Bayern last week. Their attacks is tragic and the defense is very poor. These 2 reasons is convincing enough to explain why they are bottom of the table and score only 8 goals so far. Considering Cottbus is too weak at the attacks, Gladbach should not have problem to win this important match. My tip: Gladbach win 2-0.

Hoffenheim (1st) vs Arminia Bielefeld (14th) - Saturday: Hoffenheim still keeps to win after the loss against Hertha Berlin. However, they seems their form is declining a bit as their last few oppositions have chance to fight back. Obasi and Ibiesivic is in the great form still so Hoffenheim can still prevail in the end. Their fast counter attack organized by Carols Eduardo is really threatening so that they scored 37 goals in 14 matches, which is the best in Bundesliga. On the other hand, Bielefeld is still going around and around recently. They tried very hard to remain the form, even they won against Leverkusen last week. This week for Bielefeld is the great moment for them to see if they can maintain this morale. However, it will be very surprised for me if Bielefeld is able to snatch a point. My tip: Hoffenheim win 3-1.

VfB Stuttgart (11th) vs Schalke 04 (7th) - Sunday: Both teams will play this important match after the UEFA Cup match in Thursday. Stuttgart head coach Armin Veh is sacked earlier this week and replaced by caretaker Markus Babbel for the remaining of this season. It may show Stuttgart is starting to throw away this season and start to rebuild for the next season. So this match I believe Stuttgart will have some test in the squad and plan what players they need in the winter purchase. On the other hand, Schalke this season so far is very disappointing, their inconsistency in the attacks make them failed to score goals and win matches, the best example is the match against Bayern. Kevin Kuranyi and Jefferson Farfan are not playing so well and it leads to the inconsistency in attack. The key of this match is if Stuttgart have "honeymoon" period under the start of the managment of Stuttgart. My tip: Match draw 2-2.

VfL Bochum (16th) vs Hamburger SV (5th) - Sunday: Hamburger away form recently is pretty poor so far. Even though Hamburger wins the match against Werder Bremen comprehensively, their poor away from cannot give the fans confident. Piotr Trochowski and Ivica Olic are the most important players to bring the victory for the team in this week, and I believe it is the great threat to Bochum. On the other hand, Bochum are still struggling in regaining the form. Paul Freier and the company are still struggling to gain the consistent form in order to help the team to get out of the relegation zone. Their only advantage of this match is their home court advantage and the poor away form from Hamburger. My tip: Match draw 1-1.

Borussia Dortmund (6th) vs VfL Wolfsburg (8th) - Sunday: This is an underestimated close rival match. Both teams are very similar in form. Their young players are very enthusiastic and this enthusiasm can lead both teams to the top half of the table. Dortmund's young midfield and the defense can convert them into success and it seems they can challenge the top teams in the lead. On the other hand, Wolfsburg looks very solid so far, and their team work is one of the best teams in the league. Even some positions such as defense midfielders are not good enough in class, their team work can carry them through. However, Dortmund has the advantage in terms of home court advantage so that they can win the match because of this. My tip: Dortmund win 2-1.

So this is it! Have a good tipping!

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